Review: forecast and measurement Urfeld
How good was the forecast? Station Urfeld · values in knots
Forecastup to 12 kn at 14:00 · gusts 17
MeasuredLight windup to 8 kn at 12:00 · gusts 13
ResultFalse alarmLevel forecast vs. measured
DeviationØ 3.6 knMean wind, 6–21 h
Wind through the day
Forecast meanMeasured meanForecast gustsMeasured gustsRange
510152025Windy day from 11 kn
000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223
| Time | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean wind (kn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| Measured | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Deviation | −3 | −3 | −4 | −4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Gusts (kn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| Measured | 10 | 9 | 13 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Direction | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | NW | N | N | N | NW | N | NW | N | N | N | NO | N |
| Measured | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mean windForecastMeasuredΔ
GustsFM
DirectionFM
00 Time
8
11
01 Time
9
11
02 Time
9
11
03 Time
9
11
04 Time
9
12
05 Time
9
11
06 Time
8
9
07 Time
9
11
08 Time
9
12
09 Time
9
13
10 Time
10
14
11 Time
107−3
1410
12 Time
118−3
149
13 Time
128−4
1613
14 Time
128−4
1711
15 Time
12
17
16 Time
11
14
17 Time
11
14
18 Time
10
13
19 Time
10
12
20 Time
9
11
21 Time
8
10
22 Time
8
9
23 Time
9
11
White cells with a colour stripe = forecast, fully coloured cells = measured. Deviation = measured minus forecast: green up to 2 kn, yellow up to 4 kn, red above.
Statistical forecast, no warranty – not an official weather forecast and no substitute for severe-weather warnings. Water sports at your own risk; judge the conditions on site. Terms of use