Review: forecast and measurement Urfeld
How good was the forecast? Station Urfeld · values in knots
Forecastup to 12 kn at 13:00 · gusts 16
MeasuredLight windup to 9 kn at 13:00 · gusts 14
ResultFalse alarmLevel forecast vs. measured
DeviationØ 1.8 knMean wind, 6–21 h
Wind through the day
Forecast meanMeasured meanForecast gustsMeasured gustsRange
510152025Windy day from 11 kn
000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223
| Time | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean wind (kn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Measured | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||
| Deviation | +1 | +3 | +1 | −2 | −1 | −2 | −3 | |||||||||||||||||
| Gusts (kn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | 12 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Measured | 7 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||
| Direction | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | N | NO | NO | N | N | N | N | W | W | W | NW | N | N | N | N | N | NW | NW | N | N | N | N | N | N |
| Measured | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mean windForecastMeasuredΔ
GustsFM
DirectionFM
00 Time
9
12
01 Time
5
8
02 Time
4
7
03 Time
4
7
04 Time
5
7
05 Time
3
7
06 Time
4
7
07 Time
34+1
67
08 Time
36+3
67
09 Time
34+1
88
10 Time
42−2
105
11 Time
98−1
1511
12 Time
119−2
1513
13 Time
129−3
1614
14 Time
10
15
15 Time
11
16
16 Time
10
13
17 Time
10
14
18 Time
9
12
19 Time
9
11
20 Time
8
10
21 Time
9
11
22 Time
9
11
23 Time
9
11
White cells with a colour stripe = forecast, fully coloured cells = measured. Deviation = measured minus forecast: green up to 2 kn, yellow up to 4 kn, red above.
Statistical forecast, no warranty – not an official weather forecast and no substitute for severe-weather warnings. Water sports at your own risk; judge the conditions on site. Terms of use