Details: the drivers behind the forecast Schönhagen
This page shows the main drivers of the wind system on the lake as a forecast for the next 4 days. How the forecast works
Dashed lines are limits we derived from our measurements at the spot.
Wind: forecast and measurement
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Wind systems at this spot
At the measuring station in Schönhagen the wind mostly comes from the west, south-west and east. On sunny days with weak upper winds, an onshore sea breeze blows from north-east to south-east from April to September, strongest in the late afternoon.
The drivers
Upper-level winds: West/East
Shown is the wind at about 1.5 km altitude (850 hPa) above the spot: upwards the share from the west, downwards the share from the east, plus the direction (right axis).
This wind depends on the large-scale weather pattern. When it blows strongly from one direction, the surface wind usually comes from a similar one.
Upper wind north/south
Shown is the wind at about 1.5 km altitude (850 hPa) above the spot: upwards the share from the north, downwards the share from the south.
A strong southerly share goes with foehn and ahead of fronts, a northerly share often brings cooler air.
Sea breeze: land warmer than sea
Shown is the temperature on land (Neumünster) minus the temperature over the Baltic east of Fehmarn, plus the wind at about 1.5 km height (right axis).
The sun heats the land much faster than the water. Over the warm land the air pressure drops and cooler air flows in from the sea. The sea breeze usually sets in around midday and only develops when the large-scale wind is weak.
In our measurements in Schönhagen, with weak upper winds and land at least 3 degrees warmer, the wind blew onshore in the afternoon on 78 % of the days, with land hardly warmer on 36 %.
Wetterdaten: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), Modelle u.a. DWD ICON – modifiziert (MOS-Windvorhersage) durch addicted-sports. Messdaten: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD). · Open-Meteo.com
Statistical forecast, no warranty – not an official weather forecast and no substitute for severe-weather warnings. Water sports at your own risk; judge the conditions on site. Terms of use