Review: forecast and measurement Urfeld
How good was the forecast? Station Urfeld · values in knots
Forecastup to 11 kn at 18:00 · gusts 15
MeasuredLight windup to 8 kn at 14:00 · gusts 15
ResultFalse alarmLevel forecast vs. measured
DeviationØ 2.2 knMean wind, 6–21 h
Wind through the day
Forecast meanMeasured meanForecast gustsMeasured gustsRange
510152025Windy day from 11 kn
000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223
| Time | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean wind (kn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Measured | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| Deviation | ±0 | +2 | ±0 | −2 | −1 | +4 | +4 | +4 | +2 | −1 | −5 | |||||||||||||
| Gusts (kn) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | 13 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| Measured | 7 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 9 | |||||||||||||
| Direction | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | S | S | SW | W | W | W | SW | SW | S | S | S | S | S | W | NO | NO | NO | NO | N | O | SO | S | S | S |
| Measured | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mean windForecastMeasuredΔ
GustsFM
DirectionFM
00 Time
5
13
01 Time
4
11
02 Time
4
9
03 Time
9
21
04 Time
7
16
05 Time
6
15
06 Time
5
12
07 Time
4
9
08 Time
33±0
87
09 Time
24+2
78
10 Time
33±0
89
11 Time
31−2
94
12 Time
43−1
912
13 Time
48+4
1115
14 Time
48+4
1113
15 Time
37+4
1012
16 Time
57+2
1111
17 Time
76−1
139
18 Time
116−5
159
19 Time
3
6
20 Time
4
6
21 Time
4
7
22 Time
3
8
23 Time
3
7
White cells with a colour stripe = forecast, fully coloured cells = measured. Deviation = measured minus forecast: green up to 2 kn, yellow up to 4 kn, red above.
Statistical forecast, no warranty – not an official weather forecast and no substitute for severe-weather warnings. Water sports at your own risk; judge the conditions on site. Terms of use